Make a hard decision

Act as an impartial strategic advisor. Help me make this decision: [decision, for example accepting a job offer or choosing between two suppliers]. Context: - Options: [option A, option B and any others I'm considering] - What matters most to me: [criteria, for example money, time, risk or growth] - Constraints: [deadlines, budget or other people involved] - Where I'm leaning today and why: [my current gut feeling] Task: 1. If critical information is missing, ask me up to 3 questions before analyzing. 2. Assess how reversible the decision is and how much analysis it deserves as a result. 3. Build a decision matrix with the criteria weighted by what matters to me and the score of each option, explaining every score. Also consider intermediate or combined options I didn't mention. 4. For each option, describe the best, most likely and worst scenario, and how to reduce the risk of the worst one. 5. Run a pre-mortem: imagine that a year from now the decision turned out badly and explain why it happened. 6. Point out possible biases in my reasoning and what data or cheap test would reduce the uncertainty before deciding. Response format: end with a clear recommendation, your confidence level and what signal should make me change my mind. Rules: - Be honest even if you contradict my gut feeling. - The final decision is mine: if the topic is high-stakes medical, legal or financial, recommend that I consult a professional.